Análisis de la retención escolar a través de modelos multinivel: un estudio en Portugal

Autores/as

  • Amélia Bastos Universidade de Lisboa (ULisboa); Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão (ISEG); Centro de Matemática Aplicada à Previsão e Decisão Económica (CEMAPRE), Portugal
  • Maria Eugénia Ferrão Universidade da Beira Interior, Covilhã; Centro de Matemática Aplicada à Previsão e Decisão Económica (CEMAPRE), Portugal http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1317-0629

Palabras clave:

Repetición escolar, Participación social, Modelo multinivel.

Resumen

Este artículo investiga la retención escolar en Portugal utilizando microdatos. Con la aplicación de modelos multinivel, se analiza el número de retenciones en la educación obligatoria – variable explicada–, considerando como posibles variables explicativas las características individuales del estudiante, su contexto familiar en términos sociodemográficos y económicos y sus condiciones de vida. También se investiga el impacto de la propia escuela por sí misma en la variable endógena. Los resultados obtenidos confirman la importancia de las características individuales y familiares y de las condiciones de vida en la retención escolar. El análisis empírico muestra que la probabilidad de fracaso de un estudiante varía de una escuela a otra, lo que demuestra la importancia del impacto de la escuela en la retención escolar.

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Biografía del autor/a

Maria Eugénia Ferrão, Universidade da Beira Interior, Covilhã; Centro de Matemática Aplicada à Previsão e Decisão Económica (CEMAPRE), Portugal

Possui doutorado na área de Estatística e Teoria de Controle, realizado na Pontifícia Universidade Católica, Rio (1999), tendo desenvolvido a componente experimental da Tese no Multilevel Models Project (Institute of Education / University of London). Possui título de Agregação em Métodos Quantitativos - Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (2008). Seus interesses de investigação são em métodos estatísticos para as Ciências Sociais, especificamente em modelos de regressão multinível, erro da medida, modelação de dados longitudinais, e também em modelos estatísticos para avaliação no sector público.

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Publicado

2019-12-31

Cómo citar

Bastos, A., & Ferrão, M. E. (2019). Análisis de la retención escolar a través de modelos multinivel: un estudio en Portugal. Cadernos De Pesquisa, 49(174), 270–289. Recuperado a partir de https://publicacoesfcc.emnuvens.com.br/cp/article/view/6131

Número

Vol. 49 Núm. 174: out./dez.2019

Sección

Artículos

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Derechos de autor 2019 Cadernos de Pesquisa

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